Who will win seats in the next European parliament?
A new resource called Predict 09.EU has just been launched to help you do this. It provides free access to predictions of the outcome of the June 2009 European Parliament elections which are based on a statistical model of the performance of national parties in European Parliament elections, developed by three leading political scientists: Simon Hix (London School of Economics), Michael Marsh (Trinity College Dublin), and Nick Vivyan (London School of Economics). The website provides free access to background information on the methodology used as well as weekly updated predictions of voting trends and patterns. It includes graphs of predictions of the composition of the European Parliament as a whole and of results in individual member nations.
More papers/articles written by Simon Hix can be downloaded from the LSE website. They include some materials on voting patters in the European Parliament.
They form part of the LSE Research online. This is the institutional repository of the University and contains research outputs (articles, papers, book chapters etc.) many in full text. Browse the section for the European Institute to find more materials on the economics and politics of Europe.
Professor Michael Marsh also has an excellent website at Trinty College Dublin. In particular take a look at the European Election Trend file which has some data on past EU elections in 1989, 1994, 1999 and 2004.
for some more information on new European websites try browsing the Intute catalogue.
Tags: EU Elections
